What exactly is Putin’s plan?

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

Russian President Vladimir Putin has been keeping Kremlinologists on their toes of late with the several surprises he’s pulled out of his bag. First, he dismissed his cabinet and appointed a relatively unknown technocrat, Vladimir Zubkov, as his new prime minister. Though unexpected, the procedure was in fact quite reminiscent of how Putin himself was appointed as prime minister by Yel’tsin in 1999. Lyndon has an incredibly detailed post on the Zubkov appointment over at his Scraps of Moscow site.

Not much later, when asked about successors to the Russian presidency at a retreat in Sochi, Putin first mentioned three possibilties: Zubkov, Grigory Yavlinsky (Yabloko leader), and Gennady Zyuganov (first secretary of the Russian Communist Party). Zubkov was a ‘given’ on that list, but mentioning Yavlinksky and Zyuganov seemed nothing but a joke. It was only after additional probing that Putin mentioned Sergei Ivanov or Dmitry Medvedev, the two first deputy prime ministers who have long been spoken of as serious presidential contenders. Putin’s been holding his cards closely and many are baffled as to what his real plan and strategy will turn out to be.

План Путина - победа России!
“Putin’s Plan - Russia’s Victory” (photo credit: MSLipsco)

Billboards praising ‘Putin’s Plan’ have been popping up all over the country since the end of August. According to an article in today’s Vedomosti newspaper, there are over 2,000 of them altogether. Interestingly enough, there seem to be two variations of the billboard: one features the United Russia logo and the other does not. Veronica has done a great job of rounding up some of the Russian LiveJournal commentary responding to the billboards in her Global Voices translation.

What’s most interesting, though perhaps not most surprising, about the billboards is that United Russia seems to be the only political party successful in installing their adverts nationwide. All other parties are being told to remove their advertising or they have been rejected by advertising agencies.
As the Vedomosti article explains, there are several explanations for this.

First, according to the Central Election Committee, until election campaign budgets are established, parties are prohibited from using outdoor advertisements to persuade the public to vote for or against a certain party or issue, nor to call on them to exercise their right to vote. United Russia spokesperson Viktor Tokarev argues, however, that the billboard does not break the law as it does not call on the citizen to vote one way or another.

Members of A Just Russia and the Russian Communist party say that they are being rejected by advertising agencies in Moscow and Rostov region. In Samara the Union of Right Forces (Союз Правых Сил) had their party’s signs removed due to ‘complaints’; no complaints were received about the United Russia billboards though, explained Valentina Kalgatina, a spokeswoman for the region’s administration. Tokarev himself claims that United Russia is asking the agency to temporarily take them down until election campaign budgets are established, but to this day the Putin’s Plan billboards are standing all around Russia.

By law, registered parties are supposed to be given the same media opportunities in preparation for the election.

The Putin’s Plan billboards were installed by News Outdoor Russia, the country’s largest outdoor advertising agency, which boasts more than 34,000 ad sites in 86 Russian cities and is run by Sergei Zheleznyak, who will more than likely be elected as a United Russia deputy in the December Duma elections. News Outdoor Russia says that they’ve had to turn away other political parties seeking ad placement due to the lack of ad space. “Autumn is the season with the highest demand and parties should have reserved advertising space in the spring, just as United Russia did,” says Natalya Semina.

The real question is, once election campaign budgets are set, will political parties other than Putin’s have an easier time gaining ad space?

Right then… Now back to our regularly scheduled programming

Monday, September 17th, 2007

There have been quite a few important events in the last few months and I felt impelled to take a hiatus from blogging in order to enjoy each of them to the fullest extent, soaking in the significance of each moment.

Married

Most notably, Katya and I were married on September 8th. Planning a ‘western’ style wedding in Moscow proved to be an arduous undertaking, regardless of the fact that we set aside eight months to do so. I feel like I could write a book (or at least a few blog posts) about it all. Surprisingly enough, the simplest part was actually the legal paperwork, something which is usually a terribly long and bureaucratic process in Russia. The ZAGS ceremony, which was at the end of June, was actually a breath of fresh air. We kept it simple, just showing up with a handful of friends and family and signing on a few dotted lines, but the day was still a special and memorable one.

Then on September 8th, two years to the day since we started seeing each other, we sealed the deal po Amerikansky with an all out traditional wedding at a local Protestant church, followed by a reception at the Marriott Courtyard. Family and friends flew in from abroad (the US, Haiti, and Switzerland) to celebrate with us. Though the 8 months of planning was laden with unexpected changes of plans which were out of our control, the Big Day itself went on without a hitch!

We took a short trip to St. Petersburg and are now enjoying settling into our new apartment.

I’m also working in a new job as of May. Things are going well, though I’ve had to work extra hard to climb the learning curve in an industry that’s quite new to me. Perhaps I’ll share more about that later. I’ve also finished up the two side projects I took on with Moscow State University Geography Department and Russian Standard Insurance.

Needless to say, I anticipate having a schedule slightly more conducive to blogging. Along with more frequent posting, I intend to do some housecleaning as a restored Wordpress backup seems to have botched up the Cyrillic encoding of some older entries. Do let me know if you see anything quirky or have any suggestions.

Cheers!

Onegin snow quote

Tuesday, January 23rd, 2007

“Зимы ждала, ждала природа. Снег выпал толкьо в январе…”

В январе будет жара

Thursday, January 18th, 2007

Moscow isn’t the only European city experiencing an unseasonably warm winter, but it may be the city where such a warm streak is most surprising and disrupting. It’s being reported that this is the warmest winter in 130 years. Interestingly enough, it was exactly a year ago today that I posted a screencapture of Rambler Weather displaying a frigid -31 forecast, which was at that time a 50-year record-setting low.

How’s that for a contrast?

The warm weather has been throwing Muscovites for a loop. Many are having trouble getting out of bed in the mornings with the constant grey weather. The snow tire industry in Moscow has seriously deflated (ouch), reporting business down by 20-30%. Even the bears at the zoo are stumbling out of hibernation several weeks early due to the confusingly warm weather. Even the Russian Orthodox Church is taking up the issue by considering special services of prayer and supplication for snow.

Thanks are due to Russian Kafe for the news links.

Blast at Moscow State University - No Injuries

Sunday, November 26th, 2006

A bomb exploded at Moscow State University on Saturday and a second was found before it was detontated. Several hundred people had to evacuate the Soviet-era “wedding- cake” style university building on Moscow’s Sparrow Hills, a police spokesman said.

Will the Kazakh language also adopt a Latin script?

Friday, October 27th, 2006

The president of Kazakhstan, Nursultan Nazarbaev, has revived talks of reforming the Kazakh alphabet to use a Latin script rather than Cyrillic. After the collapse of the USSR several other former Soviet republics did the same (Turkmenistan, Moldova, and Uzbekistan in the mid 90’s; Azerbaijan in 2001) in order to cut some of their ties to Russia.

US Board on Geographic Names: Kiev is Now Kyiv

Thursday, October 26th, 2006

According to an October 19th US State Department press briefing, the US Board on Geographic Names has decided to change the official US English spelling of the Ukrainian capital from Kiev (pronounced Ke-yev) to Kyiv (pronounced Keev). The new version reflects the Ukrainian transliteration of the name, while the old spelling came from the Russian transliteration.

The population of Ukraine is split in two, with half of its citizens being Russian-speakers and half being Ukrainian-speakers. Of course, it would seem that the State Department has now taken sides…

Many people see this as a US tactic to woo Ukraine further to the West, the direction that President Viktor Yuschenko has been taking the country since he came to power after the 2004 Orange Revolution. Call it what you like, but supporters say that the US is just coming in line with the spelling standards of international organizations like the UN and NATO.

State Department spokesman Tom Casey says, “…I don’t think this decision has anything reflective in it.” But if we’re putting all politics aside, what about the scores of other cities with English spellings far off from their native pronunciations? Why is Myanmar still referred to as Burma in the US? Will Moscow ever become Moskva? Will Munich become Munchen?

Though Kyiv will now be used on all maps produced in the United States, it would seem that not everyone is ready to board the ship just yet. According to this article in the International Herald, the Associated Press will continue to spell the Ukrainian capital as Kiev.

I suppose only time will tell if this change will stick.

Hungry men like fuller women

Wednesday, August 2nd, 2006

Research conducted in the UK shows that hungry men prefer fuller women. As Kottke put it, “…if you’re hungry, you’re more likely to be attracted to someone who looks like they might know where some food is.”